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Prof. Christopher R. Hitchcock  (Caltech, Pasadena)

The causal bases of propensities

According to propensity interpretations, propensities are causal dispositions that come in degrees. Insufficient attention has been paid to the question of what kind of causal basis is necessary to give rise to a propensity. I will propose an answer to this question that makes use of causal Bayes nets. The proposal will have several other virtues. It will provide an answer to Humphreys' paradox, which has plagued propensity interpretations of probability. In addition, my proposal will explain why beliefs about propensities obey Lewis's Principal Principle.

Speaker:
A.B., Princeton University, 1986; M.A. (Philosophy); M.A. (Mathematics), University of Pittsburgh, 1990; Ph.D., 1993. Associate Professor, Caltech, 1998-2002; Professor, 2002-14; Koepfli Professor, 2014-.
Before joining Caltech, Hitchcock was on the faculty at Rice University from 1993 to 1998. He's had three articles selected by The Philosopher's Annual as among the year's 10 best in the field of philosophy (in 1995, 2001, and 2003

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